天然橡胶市场一周行情（2015.1.5-1.9）

时间：2015-01-23 作者： 来源： 点击次数：3942

<table style="width:100%;" border="1" cellspacing="0" bordercolor="#000000" cellpadding="2"> <tbody> <tr> <td colspan="8"> <p style="text-align:center;" class="MsoNormal"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:14px;">天然橡胶市场一周行情（2015.1.5-1.9）</span></strong> </p> <p style="text-align:center;" class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">--国家天然橡胶产业技术体系海口综合试验站(中国天然橡胶协会）&nbsp;中国农垦经济发展中心经济贸易处</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">类别</span></strong><br /> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.5</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.6</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.7</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.8</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1.9</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">涨跌幅</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;" rowspan="3" width="14%"> <strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">产区FOB</span></strong><strong><span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">价格</span></strong><br /> </td> <td width="20%"> <p class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">泰国烟片RSS3（美元）</span><span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td width="11%"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1720.7</span> </td> <td width="11%"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1727.5</span> </td> <td width="11%"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1720.4</span> </td> <td width="11%"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">1699.7</span> </td> <td width="11%"> <span style="font-family:SimSun;font-size:12px;">—&nbsp;—</span> </td> <td width="11%"> -1.22% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 印标20#（美元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 1735.0 </td> <td> 1730.0 </td> <td> 1720.0 </td> <td> 1695.0 </td> <td> —&nbsp;— </td> <td> -2.31% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 马标20#（美元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 1523.0 </td> <td> 1510.0 </td> <td> 1481.0 </td> <td> 1445.0 </td> <td> 1453.0 </td> <td> -&nbsp;4.60% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"> <strong>国内现货报价</strong><br /> </td> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 上海、山东全乳胶（元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 12500 </td> <td> 12600 </td> <td> 12600 </td> <td> 12500 </td> <td> 12500 </td> <td> 0 </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 人民币复合胶报价（元，含税）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 10800 </td> <td> 10800 </td> <td> 10500 </td> <td> 10400 </td> <td> 10400 </td> <td> -3.70% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;" rowspan="10"> <strong>市场信息</strong><br /> </td> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 沪胶成交量分析（手）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 459516 </td> <td> 658940 </td> <td> 647204 </td> <td> 592762 </td> <td> 695478 </td> <td> 51.35% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 沪胶持仓量分析（手）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 183484 </td> <td> 188338 </td> <td> 184478 </td> <td> 185218 </td> <td> 181638 </td> <td> -1.01% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 主力合约收盘价（元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 13410 </td> <td> 13550 </td> <td> 13325 </td> <td> 13175 </td> <td> 13350 </td> <td> -0.455 </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 沪胶远近合约价差（元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> -440 </td> <td> -710 </td> <td> -955 </td> <td> -955 </td> <td> -675 </td> <td> -235 </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 新加坡RSS3结算价（美元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 1709 </td> <td> 1690 </td> <td> 1650 </td> <td> 1645 </td> <td> 1660 </td> <td> -2.87% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 新加坡TSR20结算价（美元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 1513 </td> <td> 1495 </td> <td> 1445 </td> <td> 1440 </td> <td> 1456 </td> <td> -3.77% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> TOCOM主力月收盘价（日元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 214.4 </td> <td> 210.8 </td> <td> 209.5 </td> <td> 206.5 </td> <td> 208.2 </td> <td> -2.89% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> NYMEX原油（美元）<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 50.04 </td> <td> 47.93 </td> <td> 48.65 </td> <td> 48.79 </td> <td> 48.36 </td> <td> -3.36% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 美元兑人民币中间价<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 6.2166 </td> <td> 6.2126 </td> <td> 6.2138 </td> <td> 6.2143 </td> <td> 6.2085 </td> <td> -0.13% </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <p class="MsoNormal"> 美元兑日元汇率<span style="line-height:1.5;"></span> </p> </td> <td> 120.3 </td> <td> 118.5 </td> <td> 119.3 </td> <td> 119.96 </td> <td> 118.56 </td> <td> -1.45% </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>库存放方面</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <span style="line-height:1.5;"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 上海期货交易所本周五库存由上周的<span>154086</span><span>吨减至</span><span>151585</span><span>吨，减少</span><span>2501</span><span>，或</span><span>1.62%</span><span>。</span> </p> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 截至<span>12</span><span>月</span><span>30</span><span>日，青岛保税区橡胶总库存较本月中旬小幅下滑</span><span>1%</span><span>，至</span><span>13.1</span><span>万吨。</span> </p> <p class="MsoNormal"> &nbsp; &nbsp; 日本橡胶贸易协会最新公布的数据显示，截至<span>12</span><span>月</span><span>31</span><span>日，日本港口橡胶库存再增加</span><span>2.5%</span><span>至</span><span>13,306</span><span>吨。</span> </p> </span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>供应方面</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 国际橡胶研究组织（<span>IRSG</span><span>）在</span><span>2014</span><span>年</span><span>12</span><span>月发布的全球橡胶工业前景（</span><span>WRIO</span><span>）报告中预计，</span><span>2015</span><span>年全球橡胶需求量将增长</span><span>1.8%</span><span>，</span><span>2016</span><span>年增幅将达到</span><span>4.1%</span><span>，这意味着</span><span>2015</span><span>年橡胶需求量将达到</span><span>2910</span><span>万吨，</span><span>2016</span><span>年为</span><span>3030</span><span>万吨。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>需求方面</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 中国海关总署最新公布的数据显示，中国<span>2014</span><span>年</span><span>11</span><span>月天然橡胶进口量为</span><span>21.89</span><span>万吨，同比降</span><span>18.7%</span><span>。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>汽车方面</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 根据中国汽车工业协会发布的数据，<span>2014</span><span>年</span><span>11</span><span>月，我国卡车产销</span><span>26.85</span><span>万辆和</span><span>25.94</span><span>万辆，环比分别增长</span><span>14%</span><span>和</span><span>12.72%</span><span>，上涨幅度较</span><span>10</span><span>月明显增加，同比则分别下降</span><span>9.81%</span><span>和</span><span>12.59%</span><span>。</span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>宏观方面</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 从经济数据来看，国内公布的<span>12</span><span>月</span><span>PMI</span><span>、</span><span>CPI</span><span>、</span><span>PPI</span><span>等数据来看，</span><span>12</span><span>月份国内经济数据并不看好，整体反映了国内经济的下行。</span> </p> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 国储局<span>12</span><span>月进行了两轮收储，其中</span><span>12</span><span>月</span><span>9</span><span>日完成了</span><span>8.75</span><span>万吨的量，</span><span>12</span><span>月</span><span>22</span><span>日国储局再次竞拍，完成</span><span>4.1</span><span>万吨的量。</span><span>2014</span><span>年收储大幕落下，一共竞拍</span><span>12.85</span><span>万吨，其中海胶</span><span>5.3</span><span>万吨，中化</span><span>4.75</span><span>万吨，云垦</span><span>2.8</span><span>万吨。交储在</span><span>2015</span><span>年</span><span>6</span><span>月</span><span>30</span><span>日前完成。</span><span style="line-height:1.5;font-size:12px;"></span> </p> <p> <span id="__kindeditor_bookmark_start_3__"></span> </p> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:center;"> <strong>总体分析</strong> </td> <td colspan="7"> <p style="text-align:justify;text-indent:21pt;margin-left:0pt;" class="MsoNormal"> 总体看，全球供应充足。本周泰国<span>3</span><span>号烟片、印尼</span><span>20</span><span>号标胶、马来西亚的</span><span>20</span><span>号标胶</span><span>FOB</span><span>价格小幅下跌；沪胶主力、新加坡</span><span>RSS3</span><span>小幅下跌，</span><span>TOCOM</span><span>主力合约、新加坡</span><span>&nbsp;TSR20</span><span>小幅下跌；沪胶的成交量大幅增加，持仓量小幅减少；上海、山东现货价格小幅减少。上海期货交易所天然橡胶库存小幅减少，青岛保税区库存持续减少。美元指数上涨、美原油指数下跌、道琼斯指数下跌。受多种因素影响，近期天胶震荡下跌。</span> </p> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <span id="__kindeditor_bookmark_end_4__"></span>

责任编辑：经济贸易处